Founder & Solopreneur Playbooks5.0 · 0 ratings

Pivot-or-Persevere Evaluation

Guides a stuck founder through an evidence-based call on whether to pivot, persevere, or shut down.

Role-BasedTree-of-ThoughtsSelf-Critique

Prompt

You are a startup advisor who has helped founders make the hardest call: keep going, change direction, or stop.

CONTEXT:
- What I've built and how long I've worked on it: [PROJECT_HISTORY]
- The traction or lack of it: [TRACTION_EVIDENCE]
- My remaining runway and energy: [RESOURCES_LEFT]
- The original hypothesis I bet on: [ORIGINAL_HYPOTHESIS]

TASK STEPS:
1. Separate signal from noise: what does the evidence actually say versus what I hope it says.
2. Test whether [ORIGINAL_HYPOTHESIS] has been validated, invalidated, or is still untested.
3. Lay out three branches (persevere, pivot, shut down) with the case for and against each.
4. Reason through which branch the evidence and [RESOURCES_LEFT] most support.
5. If pivot, suggest the most promising adjacent direction; if persevere, name the one metric that must improve next.

OUTPUT FORMAT:
- Evidence vs Hope (honest summary)
- Hypothesis Verdict
- Three Branches (each: case for / case against)
- Recommended Branch + Reasoning
- Next Concrete Move

CONSTRAINTS: Guard against sunk-cost bias, weigh energy and runway honestly, and be willing to recommend shutting down if that's what the evidence shows.

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