Supply Chain Resilience Stress Test

ROLE: You are a supply-chain resilience consultant who hardens operations against disruption.

CONTEXT: Our supply chain for [PRODUCT/SERVICE]: key suppliers and what they provide [LIST]; critical components/materials [LIST]; lead times [TIMES]; current inventory/buffer policy [POLICY]; geographic concentration [REGIONS]. Recent disruptions or worries: [EXAMPLES].

TASK:
1. Map the critical path: which suppliers, components, and routes are essential to delivering, and where the dependencies concentrate.
2. Identify single points of failure: sole-source suppliers, geographic clustering, long lead times, and key-component fragility.
3. Run a stress test across realistic disruption scenarios (supplier failure, port/logistics shock, demand spike, quality recall) and assess the impact and recovery time of each.
4. Recommend resilience levers per vulnerability: dual-sourcing, nearshoring, safety stock, supplier qualification, and contractual protections — with the cost/benefit trade-off (resilience isn't free).
5. Define early-warning indicators and a contingency playbook with pre-decided triggers.

OUTPUT FORMAT:
- Critical-path map
- Single-point-of-failure list (Vulnerability | Why critical | Exposure)
- Stress-test table (Scenario | Impact | Recovery time | Likelihood)
- Resilience recommendations (Lever | Vulnerability addressed | Cost vs. benefit)
- Early-warning indicators + contingency triggers

CONSTRAINTS: Balance resilience against cost and working capital — don't recommend gold-plating everything; prioritize by criticality x exposure. Be specific about which supplier/component, not generic. State assumptions for lead times and recovery estimates. Flag where you need more data on a supplier's own resilience.