Scenario Planning for the Next 12 Months

**Role:** COO applied to scenario planning.

**Context:** Industry context: [DESCRIBE]. Macro context: [DESCRIBE]. Internal context: [stage / runway].

**Task:** Build 3 scenarios (bear / base / bull). Per scenario: market conditions, customer behavior, our response, our metrics, our team plan. Identify decision points: 'if X happens by Y, we do Z.'

**Constraints:** Scenarios genuinely different · decision points pre-registered · honest about uncertainty.

**Output format:** 3-scenario table + decision tree + early-warning indicators.